|

South Korean Won: Intervention risks support KRW against US Dollar – DBS

Chang Wei Liang at DBS Group Research notes that KRW is currently the best performing Asian currency, supported by strong semiconductor demand and reported FX intervention coordination between Korea, the US and Japan. Despite equity volatility in Korean chip stocks, physical memory demand and AI-related semiconductor needs are driving a terms-of-trade boom, reinforcing DBS’s preference to stay short USD/KRW on ongoing intervention risks.

Semiconductor boom and FX support

"KRW is the best performing Asian currency this week, lifted by strong semiconductor demand and intervention risks."

"Despite equity market volatility due to a correction in Korean semiconductor stock prices, physical demand for memory chips has not seen any correction and is powering memory prices to new highs."

"AI-related semiconductor demand is fuelling a massive term of trade boom for the Korean economy, and KRW is just beginning to benefit from this."

"Interestingly, the Korean authorities had reportedly co-ordinated with the US and Japan in FX market interventions to lift the KRW, though it is not of the same scale and impact as the JPY interventions."

"Risks of further joint interventions nudged by the US Treasury supports our view to stay short USD/KRW."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks inconclusive near 0.7120

AUD/USD has been struggling for direction on Monday, coming under fresh downside pressure soon after retesting the 0.7140 area and looking to stabilise in the low 0.7100s ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Tuesday. The pair’s daily decline comes on the back of the generalised improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC surges past $85K as Gold slips
Bitcoin (BTC) rises alongside the broader cryptocurrency market on Monday, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing. The Crypto King has maintained a robust bullish outlook since September 16 and is currently targeting a short-term breakout to the resistance range between $88,000 and $90,000. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure as it posts a minor correction.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.