|

Singapore Dollar: Range holds as upside risk watched against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD stayed largely unchanged around 1.2805 on Tuesday, with momentum still flat. They keep a 24‑hour trading band at 1.2785–1.2815 and sees downside risks over the 1–3 week horizon, but stresses a clear break below 1.2765 is needed to open 1.2740, while resistance at 1.2840 caps the topside.

Dollar-Singapore Dollar stuck in tight band

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD traded within a narrow range and closed largely unchanged on Tuesday. Yesterday, we indicated that “momentum remains flat, and we continue to expect USD to trade in a range between 1.2785 and 1.2815.” USD traded in a quiet manner until the early NY session when it briefly fell to 1.2772 and then rebounded to close largely unchanged at 1.2805 (+0.04%). There has been no clear increase in either downward or upward momentum, and we continue to expect USD to trade between 1.2785 and 1.2815."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Since last Monday, we have held the view that the risk for USD is on the downside. In our most recent update from two days ago (11 Aug, spot at 1.2805), we highlighted that “while the price action continues to suggest downside risk, USD must break clearly below 1.2765 before a move to 1.2740 can be expected.” Yesterday, USD briefly dropped to 1.2772 before rebounding. There has been no further increase in downward momentum, and we continue to hold the same view. On the upside, a breach of 1.2840 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the downside risk has faded."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits nine-week lows below 0.7000 on RBA Bullock's remarks

AUD/USD reverses a brief uptick and turns lower to hit nine-week lows below 0.7000 in the European morning on Tuesday, as traders digest cautious remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock during the press conference. Earlier on, the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.60%, as widely expected, leaving the door open to further rate hikes if needed.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold regains some traction; focus remains on $4,100

Gold manages to gather some composure and bounces off recent lows near the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The move higher in the precious metal comes despite the firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the board, while escalating geopolitical tensions appear to limit the downside potential.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP correct upward amid declining ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market upholds a neutral-to-bullish bias on Tuesday, with Bitcoin edging closer to a breakout above $84,000. Altcoins mirror BTC’s outlook, with Ethereum holding above $2,700 and Ripple pushing past the reclaimed $1.50 level.

RBA recap: Rate hikes are on the table as demand stays too strong

The Reserve Bank of Australia unanimously tightened monetary policy, warning that inflation remained too high and that several upside risks had begun to materialise. Governor Michele Bullock said the Board would raise rates again if necessary.

Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?