|

Singapore Dollar: Mild upside bias against US Dollar remains intact – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD remains under mild downward pressure after slipping to 1.2775 before rebounding. Intraday, the pair may retest 1.2775, but support at 1.2765 is expected to hold. Over the next 1–3 weeks, further downside requires a clear break below 1.2765 toward 1.2740, while resistance at 1.2830 caps the topside.

Downside bias but limited follow through

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD traded in a narrow range and closed largely unchanged at 1.2807 last Thursday. On Friday, we indicated that “the price action provides no fresh clues.” We also indicated that USD “could trade between 1.2795 and 1.2820.” However, USD fell to a low of 1.2775 before recovering to close at 1.2789 (-0.10%). The slight increase in downward momentum is insufficient to indicate a continued decline. That said, there is a chance for USD to test 1.2775 again. The next support at 1.2765 is unlikely to come into view. Resistance is at 1.2805; a breach of 1.2815 would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: In our most recent narrative from last Tuesday (11 Aug, spot at 1.2805), we highlighted that “while the price action continues to suggest downside risk, USD must break clearly below 1.2765 before a move to 1.2740 can be expected.” Since then, USD traded mostly sideways, remaining within a range. Downward momentum has slowed, but as long as 1.2830 (‘strong resistance’ level previously at 1.2840) is not breached, there is still a chance for USD to break clearly below 1.2765."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3550

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s advance, briefly hitting three-month tops near 1.3570 before edging lower on Monday. Fading expectations of a Fed rate hike in September weigh on the Greenback, helping Cable to keep its bullish momentum ahead of the release of the UK jobs report on Tuesday.

EUR/USD: Gains appear capped by 1.1600

EUR/USD consolidates its daily gains well north of the 1.1500 hurdle following the closing bell on Wall Street on Monday. The pair’s multi-day bounce comes on the back of renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar investors continue to trim bets of Fed rate hikes. Moving forward, Germany’s ZEW prints are due on Tuesday alongside a slew of US hard data.

Gold loses some traction, still above $4,400

Gold faces some loss of momentum and slips back toward the vicinity of the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal adds to Friday’s uptick and its positive performance follows the steady offered stance in the US Dollar amid dwindling bets for further tightening by the Fed in the next few months.

Strategy pauses Bitcoin sales, increases USD Reserve to $4.8 billion
Bitcoin (BTC) treasury firm Strategy (MSTR) increased its USD Reserve to $4.8 billion after raising $333.7 million through common stock sales, while also repurchasing $132.2 million of its STRC preferred shares, according to a Form 8-K filing on Monday. Strategy sold 3.458 million shares of its Class A common stock, MSTR, last week, generating $333.7 million in net proceeds.
Economists agree: Fed to leave interest rates unchanged this year – Reuters poll

A large majority of economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in September and for the rest of this year, according to a Reuters poll conducted between August 12 and 17.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.