Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD reclaims $80.00; bullish structure favors further gains
- Silver scales higher for the third straight day and remains on track to register weekly gains.
- The broader technical setup favors bullish traders and backs the case for further move up.
- Any meaningful corrective slide could be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited.
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts fresh buyers following an Asian session dip to sub-$78.00 levels and stalls the previous day's late pullback from a nearly three-week high. The white metal climbs back above the $80.00 psychological mark in the last hour and remains on track to register strong weekly gains.
From a technical perspective, the XAG/USD holds a constructive bullish bias as it trades above the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and has reclaimed the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the March downfall. Moreover, firmer momentum indicators reaffirm the positive bias. In fact, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 68, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is holding above zero. This suggests that buyers retain control in the near term even as conditions approach overbought territory.
However, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained strength and acceptance above the 61.8% Fibo. retracement barrier, ahead of the $83.00 mark, before positioning for further gains. The subsequent move up could lift the XAG/USD to the next relevant hurdle at the 78.6% level near $88.83 and the prior swing high around $96.44.
On the downside, immediate support is seen at the reclaimed 50.0% retracement at $78.66, followed by the 100-period SMA near $76.26 and the 38.2% Fibonacci level at approximately $74.47. A deeper pullback could attract dip-buying interest before the broader bullish structure is questioned.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
XAG/USD 4-hour chart
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Haresh Menghani
FXStreet
Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.
