Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD extends rally and eyes $69
- XAG/USD tops $66 after clearing the 50-day SMA.
- RSI points higher, keeping buyers in near-term control.
- Break above $68.96 exposes $70.00 and 200-day SMA.
Silver (XAG/USD) price climbs over 3% on Monday even though US Treasury yields rose, with the white metal refreshing seven-week highs at $66.07. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $65.76 with buyers eyeing key resistance levels.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
In the short term, Silver continues to consolidate after clearing the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $61.95, opening the door to further upside. However, the market structure continues to indicate that sellers are in charge unless XAG/USD clears the June 17 cycle high of $71.56, which would open the door to further upside.
Buyers continued to gain momentum, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Hence, the path of least resistance is upwards.
The first key resistance is the 100-day SMA at $68.96. A breach of the latter will expose the psychological $70.00, followed by the 200-day SMA at $71.30. On further strength, the next stop is the April 17 high at $83.06.
Downwards, the first support is the low of the day at $63.28. Once hurdled, the next stop would be the 50-day SMA at $61.95, followed by a support trendline at around $57.50-$57.75.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
