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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD plummets to one-month low, seems vulnerable near 61.8% Fibo.

  • Silver met with aggressive supply near the $22.00 confluence resistance on Monday.
  • The technical set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.
  • Sustained strength beyond the $22.00 mark is needed to negate the bearish outlook.

Silver extended its rejection slide from the $22.00 confluence hurdle and dropped to a near one-month low, around the $21.20 region during the early North American session on Monday.

The latter coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the $20.46-$22.52 bounce and acceptance below would be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Meanwhile, Technical indicators on daily/4-hourly charts are holding deep in the bearish territory and are still far from being in the oversold zone.

The technical set-up seems tilted firmly in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for an extension of the ongoing depreciating move for the XAG/USD. Hence, a subsequent slide below the $21.00 mark, towards challenging the YTD low around the $20.45 area touched on May 13, now looks like a distinct possibility.

On the flip side, attempted recovery might now confront resistance near the 50% Fibo. level, around mid-$21.00s. Any further move up might still be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly near the $22.00 mark, comprising 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and the 23.6% Fibo. level.

A convincing break through the aforementioned barrier would negate the near-term negative bias and shift the bias in favour of bullish traders. The XAG/USD might then surpass an intermediate resistance near the $22.30 area and test the $22.50-$22.60 supply zone. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for additional gains.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price21.34
Today Daily Change-0.58
Today Daily Change %-2.65
Today daily open21.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA2021.9
Daily SMA5022.96
Daily SMA10023.64
Daily SMA20023.45
 
Levels
Previous Daily High21.99
Previous Daily Low21.28
Previous Weekly High22.52
Previous Weekly Low21.28
Previous Monthly High23.28
Previous Monthly Low20.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.55
Daily Pivot Point S121.47
Daily Pivot Point S221.02
Daily Pivot Point S320.75
Daily Pivot Point R122.18
Daily Pivot Point R222.44
Daily Pivot Point R322.89

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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