Progress toward deal to end US-Iran war slows down – WSJ

Eren Sengezer FXStreet

Citing mediators, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Monday that progress toward finalizing an agreement to end the war between the United States (US) and Iran has slowed down, citing ongoing disagreements over Iran's nuclear program and Tehran's demand for financial relief.

According to the news outlet, US President Donald Trump also faced opposition from hardline members of his party, who voiced their concerns over leaving Iran's nuclear program intact and relieving financial pressure on the country's leadership.

Market reaction

The US Dollar (USD) Index recovered slightly from session lows on this headline and was last seen fluctuating at around 99.00, still down about 0.3% on the day.

Author

Eren Sengezer

FXStreet

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6950 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD consolidates during the Asian session on Thursday, trading just above 0.6950 as traders await further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis. The Pentagon reportedly ordered readiness for potential strikes against Iran. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play, which, along with hawkish FOMC Minutes on Wednesday and elevated US bond yields, supports the bullish US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as bulls turn cautious amid JPY intervention fears

USD/JPY retreats further from a one-and-a-half-week top, touched the previous day, and slid below 158.00 during the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar sits near an 18-month high, supported by Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. This might continue to act as a tailwind for the currency pair.

Gold hangs near two-month low; seems vulnerable around $4,100

Gold struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a two-month low, trading with a mild negative bias around $4,100 during Thursday’s Asian session. Hawkish FOMC Minutes reaffirmed bets for at least one more rate hike by year-end. Adding to this, elevated US bond yields weigh on the non-yielding bullion. The US Dollar further benefits from geopolitical uncertainties and sits near an 18-month high, undermining the commodity.

Cryptocurrencies face new security risk as Ethereum researcher warns of potential ECDSA break

Ethereum (ETH) researcher Justin Drake has urged the crypto industry to begin preparing for a potential breakthrough that could undermine the cryptographic systems securing digital assets. In an X post on Wednesday, Drake called on the industry to calmly enter what he described as “bunker mode.”

The US 10-year just hit a 2002 high. Does it give the US Dollar its next leg?

In 2026, the US Dollar Index, which measures the Dollar against six major currencies, has risen on days when Federal Reserve rate expectations pushed Treasury yields up and barely moved on days when something else did. The last stretch of the 10-year yield's climb to its highest since 2002 was the second kind.

The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?

The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.