Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD attracts bids near 20-day EMA

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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Attracts bids near 20-day EMA as US Dollar corrects

The GBP/USD pair recovers its early losses and turns positive around 1.3490 during the European trading session on Friday. The Cable gains as the US Dollar (USD) corrects after a three-day winning streak. As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.1% lower to near 98.70.

The US Dollar comes under pressure ahead of the United States (US) markets opening; however, the broader outlook of the currency remains firm as oil prices remain higher amid fears of a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage to almost 20% of global energy supply. Read more...

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Bulls seem hesitant as US-Iran tensions counter Fed-BoE divergence

The GBP/USD pair edges higher during the first half of the European session on Friday and recovers a part of the previous day's losses to levels just below mid-1.3400s, or a nearly two-week trough. The US Dollar (USD) pauses following a three-day move up as bulls await further developments surrounding the US-Iran saga. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the currency pair, although a mixed fundamental backdrop warrants caution before confirming that the recent pullback from the 1.3600 mark, or over a two-month high touched last week, has run its course.

Despite a temporary extension of the US-Iran ceasefire, investors remain on edge amid the lack of progress in peace talks due to the instability around the critical Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump ordered the US Navy to shoot and kill any boat laying mines in the critical shipping channel. Furthermore, Iran has set the complete removal of the US naval blockade as a strict precondition for resuming negotiations. This dampens hopes for a durable de-escalation and keeps geopolitical risks in play, underpinning safe-haven USD and capping the GBP/USD pair. Read more...

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GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

Gold remains below $4,100 despite receding Fed hike bets, weak USD

Gold opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week amid receding Fed rate-hike expectations and a bearish US Dollar. Oil prices tumbled after Trump canceled an attack on Iran and said that a deal is near, easing inflation fears. This forces traders to dial back bets on extreme Fed tightening and drags the USD to a fresh low since June 17, which, in turn, is supporting the non-yielding bullion. However, the recent repeated failures to find acceptance above $4,100 warrant caution for XAU/USD bulls.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation

We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.