Philippines: Extended pause view after BSP off-cycle move – UOB

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, via Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting, notes that the central bank of the Philippines, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) kept the RRP (Reverse Repurchase Rate) rate at 4.25% in an off-cycle meeting as supply-driven inflation and Middle East risks intensify. The bank expects a prolonged policy pause, with core inflation and second-round effects guiding decisions and fiscal policy taking a larger role.

BSP seen on prolonged policy pause

"In view of the fluid situation and uncertainty over the duration and severity of the Middle East conflict, we maintain a cautious stance and continue to expect no further RRP rate changes for the time being."

"Persistently weak domestic demand alongside elevated living costs supports the case for a prolonged policy pause, with fiscal measures likely to play a larger role in mitigating the economic fallout from the Middle East conflict."

"In sum, we expect the BSP to maintain a meeting-by-meeting approach while closely monitoring external developments."

"During the post-meeting briefing, the BSP Governor did not rule out the possibility of additional off-cycle meetings should the Middle East conflict escalate and pose more immediate economic risks."

"He also noted that the BSP stands ready to inject liquidity into the financial system if needed and could further reduce the reserve requirement ratio (RRR), potentially to around 2.00%."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD keeps losses near 1.1400 ahead of Eurozone inflation data

EUR/USD keeps the offered tone intact near 1.1400 in early Europe on Wednesday, pressured by receding bets for aggressive tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB). Traders will take more cues from the preliminary reading of the Eurozone's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices and the US Manufacturing PMI report due later in the day.

Gold sticks to bearish bias below $4,000 amid Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold attracts fresh sellers following the previous day's good two-way price swings, and weakens further below the $4,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. This marks the third straight day of a slide and keeps the precious metal closer to its lowest level since November 2025. Moreover, a bullish US Dollar suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion is to the downside.

Solana: Retail confidence backs SOL testing 50-day EMA breakout near $75

Solana price extends gains, testing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average around $75.00. Although institutional demand for Solana remains weak, stabilizing retail confidence, with rising funding rates and steady Open Interest, supports the mild recovery. The technical outlook for SOL shifts mildly bullish, projecting a potential breakout rally toward the $100 mark.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The European Central Bank Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Federal Reserve, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.