Oil: Brent back above 100 on war risks – DBS

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that Brent has climbed back above $100 per barrel as geopolitical risks intensify. The move comes ahead of the War Powers Resolution vote, with markets focused on the potential for an unauthorized extension of US operations and a dual blockade scenario. Investors weigh prolonged supply threats against the possibility of a diplomatic off-ramp.

War Powers vote drives Oil risk

"Additionally, Brent crude prices have risen back above $100 per barrel ahead of this week’s War Powers Resolution vote on April 29, which will determine if the Operation Epic Fury enters an unauthorized phase."

"The Trump administration is attempting to preserve its operational freedom before the formal 60-Day Constitutional Limit expires on May 1, with the dual blockade in the Strait of Hormuz and the stalled Pakistan-mediated US-Iran ceasefire talks."

"Markets are caught between fears of a prolonged war of attrition that could keep 20% of global oil supply under threat and hopes of a surprise off-ramp before President Donald Trump’s summit with President Xi Jinping in China in mid-May."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

Euro clings to the bid bias above 1.1500

EUR/USD has picked up pace, reversing Monday’s decline and advancing past the 1.1500 barrier on Tuesday. In the meantime, hopes for a diplomatic solution to the Middle East crisis keep the US Dollar under modest downside pressure, helping spot in its recovery.

Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index extends historical negative streak as risk appetite deteriorates

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index extends its negative streak to 78 consecutive days on Tuesday, the longest on record. This reading comes amid the ongoing bearish trend, which has seen Bitcoin (BTC) drop by almost 50% from its record high to trade around $64,000.

Why the WTI sell-off may be hiding a supply warning

Prices for the barrel of the American Oil benchmark have fallen sharply as hopes of a US-Iran agreement have resurfaced, but a deeply backwardated Oil curve, tight Cushing stocks and light speculative positioning all warn that the sell-off may have gone too far.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.