|

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Kiwi dips below 0.5900 in risk-off markets

  • NZD/USD extends losses for the third consecutive day and hits fresh lows below 0.5900.
  • Geopolitical tensions and solid US data have offset the Impact of bright Chinese services activity.
  • The pair is under growing bearish pressure with the late May low, at 0.5865, in sight.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) depreciates for the third consecutive day against a stronger US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, hitting lows below 0.5900. The Kiwi is showing the weakest performance among major currencies with tensions between the US and Iran crushing risk appetite, and US data endorsing expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.

The US military targeted Iran’s Qeshm Island following attacks from Iran that produced significant damage and several wounded people at Kuwait’s International Airport. Beyond that, Al Jazeera news agency has reported an Israeli attack on the outskirts of Beirut, which puts the fragile ceasefire under significant pressure.

Geopolitical woes have offset the positive impact of the bright Chinese Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) seen earlier on Wednesday. In the US, the strong manufacturing activity and job opening reports seen in previous days add to the case for Fed tightening later this year, and provide additional support to the US Dollar.

Technical Analysis: Kiwi comes under growing pressure

Chart Analysis NZD/USD

NZD/USD trades at 0.5896 after breaking support at the 0.5910 area earlier on Wednesday, which confirms the bearish near-term bias. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) extends its decline below 40, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) slips deeper into negative territory, both hinting at growing downside pressure.

On the downside, immediate support is seen at the May 28 low, in the area of 0.5865. Further down, the area between 0.5815 and 0.5830, which held bearish attempts several times in late April and May, is likely to provide support ahead of the April 12 low, in the 0.5700 area.

Upside attempts, on the other hand, might find resistance at the previous support area right above 0.5800 and at Tuesday's top, around 0.5850, ahead of the May and June highs, in the 0.5990 area.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.14%0.12%-0.06%0.11%0.21%0.50%0.24%
EUR-0.14%-0.03%-0.20%-0.04%0.07%0.33%0.10%
GBP-0.12%0.03%-0.17%-0.02%0.09%0.35%0.13%
JPY0.06%0.20%0.17%0.15%0.25%0.49%0.29%
CAD-0.11%0.04%0.02%-0.15%0.11%0.38%0.14%
AUD-0.21%-0.07%-0.09%-0.25%-0.11%0.26%0.01%
NZD-0.50%-0.33%-0.35%-0.49%-0.38%-0.26%-0.22%
CHF-0.24%-0.10%-0.13%-0.29%-0.14%-0.01%0.22%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.