|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Shows vertical fall ahead of RBNZ policy

  • NZD/USD has slipped below the 0.6200 support amid caution ahead of the RBNZ interest rate policy.
  • S&P500 futures have surrendered their entire gains added in Asia, portraying a decline in the risk appetite.
  • NZD/USD has corrected to near the upward-sloping trendline of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern.

The NZD/USD pair has displayed a steep fall after failing to extend upside above the critical resistance of 0.6220 in the London session. The Kiwi asset has sharply dropped below the round-level support of 0.6200 as investors have turned cautious ahead of the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).

S&P500 futures have surrendered their entire gains added in Asia, portraying a decline in the risk appetite of the market participants. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has found an intermediate support around 101.68.

The USD Index will dance to the tunes of Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will be printed at 12:30 GMT. Inflationary pressures are expected to decelerate as gasoline prices have dropped.

NZD/USD has corrected to near the upward-sloping trendline of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern, which is plotted from July 06 low at 0.6132 while the horizontal resistance of the aforementioned chart pattern is placed from July 06 high at 0.6220. The Kiwi asset is giving a tough fight to the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6188.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is looking for support near 40.00. A slippage below the same could trigger bearish momentum.

A downside move below July 10 low at 0.6160 will expose the asset to June 29 low at 0.6116. A slippage below the latter would drag the asset to June 05 low at 0.6041.

Alternatively, a decisive break above June 22 high around 0.6220 will drive the asset towards June 14 high at 0.6236 followed by May 17 high at 0.6274.

NZD/USD two-hour chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6185
Today Daily Change-0.0026
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open0.6211
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6167
Daily SMA500.617
Daily SMA1000.6188
Daily SMA2000.6177
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.622
Previous Daily Low0.6166
Previous Weekly High0.6221
Previous Weekly Low0.6124
Previous Monthly High0.625
Previous Monthly Low0.599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6199
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6187
Daily Pivot Point S10.6178
Daily Pivot Point S20.6145
Daily Pivot Point S30.6124
Daily Pivot Point R10.6232
Daily Pivot Point R20.6253
Daily Pivot Point R30.6286

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold rebounds to $4,150 as China bond-buying reports smash US yields

Gold attracts strong buying and retests $4,150 during the Asian session on Thursday, snapping a three-day losing streak to a one-week low. Retreating US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched in reaction to Wednesday’s hot US CPI report, and boost the non-yielding bullion. Reports that China is quietly buying US Treasuries through Canada are smashing US Treasury bond yields and the USD.

Bitcoin falls on hot CPI: Why $80,000 support matters

Bitcoin's (BTC) most critical level to watch is near $80,000 as September's hot inflation reading pressures the crypto market, according to Glassnode. The top crypto declined within minutes of the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which showed a 3.7% annual increase in headline inflation, above forecasts of 3.6%. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, came in at 2.6%.

China seems routing US Treasury holdings through Canada

According to a Bloomberg report, China seems to be moving United States securities to non-US custodian banks in other countries, masking its role in financing US deficits.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?