|

NY Fed: Year-ahead expected inflation drops to 3%, lowest level since January 2021

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations showed on Monday that the US consumers' one-year inflation expectation dropped to its lowest level since January 2021 at 3% in December from 3.4% in November.

Key takeaways

"Expected inflation three years ahead at 2.6% in December vs 3% in November."

"Expected inflation five years ahead at 2.5% in December vs 2.7% in November."

"Median expected home price rise unchanged at 3% in December."

"Expected earnings, spending rises at lowest level since 2021."

"Households less pessimistic on credit access, financial situation."

Market reaction

The US Dollar (USD) stays under modest selling pressure following this report. At the time of press, the USD Index was down 0.3% on the day at 102.12.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

Mild correction in Bitcoin – HYPE, TIA extend losses
Bitcoin (BTC) edges below $64,000 on Friday, extending losses for the third consecutive day after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) capped recovery around $65,000. Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Celestia (TIA) stand out as the worst performers over the last 24 hours, with nearly 10% losses.
Asian stock markets mirror US tech sell-off, Nikkei plunges over 4%

Asian stock markets face a sharp sell-off on the last trading day of the week, tracking seeking negative cues from United States equity markets. US technology stocks fell sharply on Thursday as stocks of sophisticated chips extended their losses.

-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.