|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Trades near 162.50 after breaking above nine-day EMA

  • USD/JPY may find the primary barrier at the 40-year high of 162.84.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index is at 59.8, hinting at sustained, measured upside pressure.
  • The currency pair is positioned slightly above the nine-day EMA of 162.22.

USD/JPY steadies after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 162.40 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency pair is maintaining a bullish near-term bias as it holds above both the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The location of prices over these key averages suggests buyers remain in control

Additionally, the daily technical analysis indicates that the USD/JPY pair is remaining within an ascending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bullish bias. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 59.8 stays in positive territory without yet signaling overbought conditions, hinting at sustained but measured upside pressure.

The USD/JPY pair could find initial resistance at the 40-year high of 162.84, which was reached on July 1. Further advances would support the pair to approach the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 164.50.

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the nine-day EMA of 162.22, followed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 162.00. A sustained break below the channel would expose the 50-day EMA at 160.85. Further declines below the medium-term moving average would cause a bearish emergence and put downward pressure on the pair to navigate the region around the four-month low of 155.04, recorded on May 6.

Chart Analysis USD/JPY
USD/JPY: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.07%0.03%-0.03%-0.06%0.12%0.03%-0.11%
EUR0.07%0.11%0.04%0.00%0.20%0.10%-0.04%
GBP-0.03%-0.11%-0.07%-0.11%0.08%0.00%-0.16%
JPY0.03%-0.04%0.07%-0.04%0.15%0.04%-0.08%
CAD0.06%0.00%0.11%0.04%0.20%0.10%-0.04%
AUD-0.12%-0.20%-0.08%-0.15%-0.20%-0.11%-0.24%
NZD-0.03%-0.10%-0.00%-0.04%-0.10%0.11%-0.14%
CHF0.11%0.04%0.16%0.08%0.04%0.24%0.14%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces to 1.3550 on USD retreat

GBP/USD rebounds to test 1.3550 at the start of a new week, reversing a part of Friday's heavy losses to over a one-week trough. The pair draws support from renewed US Dollar weakness, but lacks bullish conviction amid looming US-Iran geopolitical risks.

EUR/USD edges higher to near 1.1600 ahead of German CPI data

EUR/USD gathers strength to near 1.1600 in European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar pulls back despite hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. Traders will now take cues from the preliminary reading of Consumer Price Index inflation data from Germany, which is due later on Monday.

Gold holds recovery near $4,450; still cautious

Gold holds its recovery near $4,450 in the European session on Monday, moving away from sub-$4,400 levels, though the upside potential seems limited. A softer US Dollar offers some support to the precious metal and helps recover its intraday losses. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's comments on curbing inflationary pressures on Friday lifted bets for a rate hike, which might keep a lid on any meaningful recovery for the non-yielding bullion.

Dogecoin whales take profits as rally loses momentum

Dogecoin trades near key support around $0.081 after declining more than 12% last week. On-chain data suggests some whale wallets are taking profits after DOGE’s recent surge. Meanwhile, derivatives data points to mild underlying strength, while technical indicators suggest bullish momentum is losing strength, leaving the meme coin’s near-term outlook mixed.

Iran’s IRGC claims it shot down US drone, attacked UAE air base
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) shot down a US MQ-9 drone over the Strait of Hormuz using air defense missiles, causing it to crash into Gulf waters, Mehr news agency reported on Monday.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.