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NQ100 strong 1000 points bearish pullback coming soon

The Nasdaq (NQ100) has shown an impressive bullish impulse since the beginning of April 2026. In just 6 weeks, the NQ100 climbed from 24,750 to almost 29,500 for an approximate gain of 19%. Impressive. Now the main question is: can the NQ100 extend those gains? Let’s review it.

Daily chart

NQ

Break below Monday’s low

Price action is making a bearish pullback at the moment. The break below Monday’s low (orange box) is confirming a retest of the ET zone 8.

Let’s review the main scenarios:

  • A bearish break, pullback, and decline is the main expected scenario for the upcoming 1-2 weeks (orange arrows).
  • The bearish retracement could see price fall towards the support around 28,000-28,250, which is aligned with the 21 ema zone of the daily chart.
  • An uptrend continuation and a new higher high (green arrows) within a wave 345 (pink) is expected considering the strong bullish impulse since the start of April.
  • An immediate bullish uptrend might be possible but this scenario would only make sense after price bounces at the 21 ema, breaks through resistance, and rallies (blue arrows).

Four-hour chart

NQ

Retest 21 EMA after exhaustion signals

The four-hour chart showed signs of exhaustion according to our template (orange box). The EX signs above the 4 candles show loss of momentum before price action started to make a bearish pullback.

Let’s analyse the path of least resistance:

  • Price action is testing the 21 ema zone, which is a key decision zone.
  • A bullish bounce is expected (green arrow).
  • But a larger bearish pullback should take price action back to the 144 ema (orange arrows).
  • An ABC (purple) pattern is expected within wave 4 (pink).
  • Once price completes the correction, a continuation of the uptrend could see price move higher for a wave 5 (pink) and a new higher high (blue arrow).

An uptrend continuation remains likely as long as price action remains above the 144-233 ema zone on the 4 hour chart.

Author

Chris Svorcik

Chris Svorcik

FS method

Chris Svorcik is a trader, analyst, and educator with over 15 years of experience in financial markets, specializing in moving averages, market structure, and price patterns.

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