|

New Zealand Dollar rebounds but upside remains limited as US Dollar stays supported

  • NZD/USD rebounds modestly on Friday after falling to its lowest level in more than a week.
  • Strong New Zealand inflation supports expectations of further Reserve Bank of New Zealand tightening.
  • Geopolitical tensions and resilient US economic data continue to underpin the US Dollar ahead of next week's Fed meeting.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5790 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.27% on the day as the pair recovers from a one-and-a-half-week low, although bullish momentum remains limited by the underlying strength of the US Dollar (USD).

The Greenback continues to draw support from rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East after the United States (US) carried out another round of military strikes against Iran, while Iran and its allies responded with attacks targeting US-linked military assets across the region. Additional attacks on shipping routes in the Red Sea and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have heightened concerns over global Oil supply disruptions, pushing energy prices higher and reviving inflation fears.

The prospect of higher energy-driven inflation reinforces expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could keep monetary policy restrictive for longer and potentially deliver another interest rate hike before the end of the year. Thursday's Initial Jobless Claims data, which fell to 187K and significantly beat expectations, also highlighted the continued resilience of the US labor market, providing further support to the US Dollar.

At the same time, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) finds support after stronger-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will continue tightening monetary policy, with markets still anticipating another rate increase at the September meeting.

Looking ahead, investors will focus on the preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data from the United States later on Friday. Beyond the headline figures, traders will closely monitor business sentiment and input price components for fresh clues on inflationary pressures ahead of next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting, while NZD/USD is likely to remain driven primarily by broader US Dollar sentiment.

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.09%-0.05%-0.03%-0.04%-0.33%-0.25%0.00%
EUR0.09%-0.00%0.00%-0.00%-0.30%-0.24%0.04%
GBP0.05%0.00%0.02%0.00%-0.28%-0.21%0.05%
JPY0.03%0.00%-0.02%0.00%-0.30%-0.23%0.02%
CAD0.04%0.00%-0.00%-0.00%-0.30%-0.24%0.03%
AUD0.33%0.30%0.28%0.30%0.30%0.08%0.32%
NZD0.25%0.24%0.21%0.23%0.24%-0.08%0.25%
CHF-0.00%-0.04%-0.05%-0.02%-0.03%-0.32%-0.25%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.