New home sales: preview: recent bounce seems transitory - Nomura

Ross J Burland FXStreet

Analysts at Nomura offered a preview of the next key housing data from the United States.

Key Quotes:

"We expect a 0.6% m-o-m decline in new home sales to 625k saar in September following a rebound in August which appears transitory (Consensus: -0.6% to 625k).

New home sales increased strongly by 3.5% to 629k saar in August as sales in the Northeast rebounded sharply and sales activity in the West continued to recover after a slowdown in Q2.

Some of the strong rebound in the Northeast will likely revert in September. Moreover, the landfall of Hurricane Florence in North Carolina and South Carolina may have disrupted sales activity in the South and pose some downside risk to the September report.

However, considering a strong 2.9% m-o-m rebound in the volume of mortgage loan applications for purchase in September following a 7.2% decline in August, it is possible to see healthy sales activity in other regions."

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold remains vulnerable, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Monday, targeting the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation

Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.