|

More downside ahead for Iron Ore – ING

Iron Ore has been one of the worst-performing commodities this year. Hopes of a China recovery in the second half of 2023 should provide support in the medium term. The short-term outlook is more bearish, strategists at ING report.

Iron Ore’s rout to continue until China recovers

“We believe the short-term outlook remains bearish with sluggish demand from China suggesting that prices should trend lower. We expect prices to slide to $85/t in the first quarter of 2023 and hover around $90/t throughout the second and third quarters.”

“Prices should be supported in 2H23 due to expectations of a recovery in China and easing Covid restrictions, with prices moving above $95/t in 4Q.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flatlines below 0.7050 as bulls await RBA rate decision on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY advances to 157.75 as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

USD/JPY regains positive traction during the Asians session on Monday, building on Friday's bounce from sub-157.00 levels as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike undermines the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, hopes for Middle East diplomacy cap the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair amid speculation that authorities will step in to support the Japanese Yen.

Gold struggles to build on recovery from one-year low beyond $3,900

Gold kicks off the week on a positive note, recovering slightly from its lowest level since October 2025, touched on Friday, as hopes for Iran diplomacy cap the US Dollar. However, Fed rate-hike bets keep a lid on the non-yielding bullion as focus shifts to key US macro releases scheduled at the start of the new month, including the ISM Manufacturing later today and the NFP report on Friday.


Week ahead: Nonfarm Payrolls and US midterm elections take center stage
The US dollar traded higher against most of its peers this week, beginning the week on a solid footing amid expectations of a hawkish FOMC decision on Wednesday. Although market participants were convinced that a rate hike was off the table, they were on the lookout for clues and hints on whether they were correct in nearly fully pricing in a 25bps rate hike in December.
Middle East War updates: Iran warns of expanded strikes against US despite progress in talks

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.