|

Japanese Yen: Yen eyes BoJ and key resistance zone against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe the Japanese Yen trading broadly in line with G10 peers, with near-term focus on the June PPI release and the July 31 Bank of Japan meeting. They note material resistance in USD/JPY above 162.50, close to last week’s multi-decade high, while markets still price only about 25 bps of BoJ tightening by year-end.

Resistance near multi-decade highs

"The yen is also trading in tandem with most of its G10 peers and offering little differentiation in terms of its performance."

"Overnight data were limited and near-term risk lies with the 7:50pm ET release of PPI."

"Short-term price action in USD/JPY suggests material resistance above 162.50, with all eyes on last week’s multi-decade high around 162.80."

"Media reports of an acceleration in the BoJ’s tightening path may offer the JPY support, however rate expectations remain relatively muted into the July 31 rate decision with markets still pricing only about 25bpts of tightening by year-end."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead: Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets
The new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, has made few public appearances since taking the central bank helm in May, yet he’s found it difficult to steer off controversy. Question marks about his relations with the President, Donald Trump, continue to swirl, while markets are still trying to make sense of his approach to monetary policy.
CFTC Report: Oil positioning rebounds; VIX and Yen exposure turn more bearish
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning turned more constructive in the week to August 18. WTI recorded the largest increase, followed by a sharp narrowing in CAD net shorts. VIX and JPY positioning moved the other way, while Gold remained the clearest crowded long despite a softer spot price.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.