|

Japanese Yen weakens on Hormuz risks; USD/JPY climbs to 159.00 despite subdued USD demand

  • USD/JPY attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session, though the upside potential seems limited.
  • Economic concerns stemming from Hormuz risks undermine the JPY and offer support to the pair.
  • The divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations might cap gains for spot prices amid intervention fears.

The USD/JPY pair regains some positive traction following the previous day's two-way directionless price moves and climbs to the 159.00 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a familiar range held over the past month or so, warranting some caution before placing aggressive directional bets amid mixed fundamental cues.

The Japanese Yen's (JPY) relative underperformance comes amid worries that Japan's economy will come under strain as the risk to energy supplies remains due to continued disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. However, hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) expectations could help limit deeper JPY losses amid intervention fears.

Reuters, citing sources, reported that the BoJ is likely to hold rates in April amid Middle East uncertainty, but signal readiness to hike as soon as June as imported energy costs cloud the inflation picture. Furthermore, Japanese authorities have warned they will not tolerate excessive volatility and are prepared for "bold" action. This keeps intervention risks in play, which could support the JPY and cap the USD/JPY pair.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) remains well within striking distance of a nearly two-month low, touched last Friday, amid diminishing odds for a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations might further keep a lid on the USD/JPY pair. Hence, strong follow-through buying is needed to back the case for an extension of the pair's recovery from a one-month low set last week.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.05%0.08%0.08%-0.01%0.06%-0.34%0.03%
EUR-0.05%0.04%0.04%-0.07%0.04%-0.38%-0.01%
GBP-0.08%-0.04%0.00%-0.08%-0.01%-0.41%-0.04%
JPY-0.08%-0.04%0.00%-0.08%-0.03%-0.47%-0.05%
CAD0.01%0.07%0.08%0.08%0.05%-0.38%0.04%
AUD-0.06%-0.04%0.01%0.03%-0.05%-0.43%-0.02%
NZD0.34%0.38%0.41%0.47%0.38%0.43%0.41%
CHF-0.03%0.01%0.04%0.05%-0.04%0.02%-0.41%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.