|

Japanese Yen: Range-bound trade persists against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY lacks clear directional cues in the short term, with intraday price action expected to remain confined between 157.55 and 158.45. Over the next one to three weeks, they see the pair trading in a broader 156.35–158.70 range. On a one to three month horizon, they highlight building downward momentum and potential further USD/JPY weakness.

Short-term ranges, medium-term downside risk

"24-HOUR VIEW: Yesterday, we indicated that USD “could trade between 157.10 and 158.10.” USD subsequently fluctuated between 157.41 and 158.29, closing largely unchanged at 157.90 (+0.04%). The price action does not provide any clear directional clues. Today, USD could trade between 157.55 and 158.45."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (05 Oct, spot at 157.65). As highlighted, rather than continuing to pull back within the previously expected 156.00/158.70 range, USD “is likely to trade in a range between 156.35 and 158.70.”"

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold rebounds from two-month lows as US Dollar, Treasury yields retreat

Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds on Tuesday as a pullback in US Treasury yields weighs on the US Dollar (USD), helping the metal recover after falling to a two-month low of $4,104 during Asian trading hours. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,173, up 0.82% on the day.

Ripple and Stellar weaken as derivatives positioning fades
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, on Tuesday after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.
Europe in focus as French and Spanish politics drive sentiment

There are no tier-1 releases today. Focus will remain on developments in the European markets and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. In France, the key issue in the coming days will be whether the Socialists and Marine Le Pen's National Rally signal they are willing to topple the government over the budget.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.