Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to reach $2,150 in the second half of next year – Commerzbank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Gold has risen in price by around 12% since the beginning of the year. Strategists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s for 2024.

Gold price under the spell of interest rate expectations

The upcoming interest rate cuts speak in favor of gold, which is why we foresee a further price increase to $2,150 in the second half of next year.

Investment demand is also likely to pick up again with the interest rate cuts by the Fed that are on the horizon and should materialize.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold trades with caution as Fed’s policy takes centre stage

Gold reflects a subdued performance at around $4,000 in the opening session on Tuesday, as financial markets shifty their focus to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Ripple secures OCC approval for National Trust Bank

Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple, announced in an X post on Monday that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has granted final approval to charter Ripple National Trust Bank (RNTB). The federally supervised national bank demonstrates Ripple's progress toward building digital asset infrastructure within a regulated financial system.

France tests the Euro's nerve: What the OAT spread is telling FX traders

France's 10-year borrowing premium over Germany hit its widest since the 2011 debt crisis last week. With public spending above 57% of GDP, unrest on the streets and a presidential election next spring, cuts look unlikely. If Paris cannot trim, the bill may be paid quietly through financial repression.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.