Repricing of the Fed’s terminal rate will drive the Gold price in the short-term. Economists at ANZ Bank expect the Fed to pause its interest rate hiking cycle this year. This should lower the USD and leave US real yields intact, then lifting XAU/USD in the second half of 2023.
A weakening greenback will be a key tailwind for Gold prices
“Improving fundamentals across other major economies could limit the greenback’s upside. Our DXY forecast trajectory remains unchanged, and has the index falling to 98 by end of the year. This will be a tailwind for the Gold market.”
“We believe recalibration of market expectations around the FFR could keep gold prices volatile in the short-term. Nevertheless, we still expect the Fed to pause and for yields to trend lower towards year-end, which should support Gold prices in H2 2023.”
“We see last year’s monetary tightening starting to show up in slowing economic growth later this year. This could have a dual impact: slowing economic growth could trigger monetary policy easing, and Gold could attract haven flows.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds above 0.6600 ahead of the US PMI, Fed’s Powell speech
The AUD/USD pair holds above the 0.6600 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Friday. However, the rebound of the US Dollar might cap the pair’s upside in the near term. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index surges to 103.50 while the US Treasury bond yield edge higher.
EUR/USD hovers around 1.0900 amid falling inflation, focus on ECB’s Lagarde’s speech
The EUR/USD pair hovers around the 1.0900 psychological mark after retracing from the multi-month high of 1.1017 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Falling inflation and a stagnant economy in the Eurozone fuel hopes that interest rates could soon be cut.
Gold recovers its losses near $2,040, focus on US PMI, Fed’s Powell speech
Gold price recovers its recent losses near $2,040 during the early Asian session on Friday. The anticipation that the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady and perhaps start cutting in 2024 weighs on the US Dollar and lends some support to the USD-denominated gold.
Cosmos Price Prediction: ATOM eyes 10% gains amid chatter about a fork
Cosmos price is trading with a bullish bias despite a rejection from the $10.218 resistance level. The optimism comes on the back of chatter of a possible fork, expected to result in an airdrop, an outcome that would be effectively bullish for Cosmos Hub.
A November to remember
The narrative for November can be characterized as a story of realization, recognition, and capitulation, particularly regarding the direction of interest rates and the outlook ahead. The month commenced with yields on 10-year Treasuries at 4.90%, but they are now poised to conclude nearly 60 basis points lower, providing a favourable boost to stock valuations.