|

Gold Price Forecast: Push back in rate cut expectations from March to June may cap XAU/USD rally – ANZ

The timing and pace of the Fed’s rate cuts are long-term drivers for Gold, strategists at ANZ Bank say.

The FOMC needs more confidence that inflation is returning to 2% before considering cuts

Currently, the FOMC needs more confidence that inflation is returning to 2% before considering cuts. 

We believe the cuts will commence from July 2024. Markets are pricing in cuts starting from H2 2024. That said, the push back in market expectations from March to June may cap the price rally.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY hovers around 156.00 as more hawkish BoJ bets cap gains

USD/JPY holds steady above 156.00 on Monday as the US Dollar draws support from escalating US-Iran tensions and rising Fed rate-hike bets, bolstered by Friday's upbeat NFP report. Moreover, concerns over Japan’s fiscal outlook keep the Japanese Yen on the back foot and support the currency pair, though more hawkish BoJ expectations and a suspected intervention cap the upside.

Gold falls below $4,400 as strong US jobs data raise the prospects for Fed rate hike

Gold price tumbles to near $4,395 during the Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the decline as robust US employment data boost US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) climbed by 162K in August, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed on Friday.

Bitcoin consolidates near recent highs, Ethereum and XRP defend key bullish supports
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) maintain a constructive outlook on Monday after gaining more than 3.4%, 4% and 4.8%, respectively, last week. BTC holds steady near $80,000 while ETH and XRP show resilience and defend key support zones. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests consolidation or a mild pullback before an upside move.
CFTC report: Oil rebound offsets broader positioning retreat
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning became more defensive in the week ending September 1. Yen short positioning recorded the largest deterioration, while Gold length also retreated. Oil buying returned alongside stronger prices, and Canadian Dollar and Euro positioning improved, although Euro flows diverged from weaker spot prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.