|

Gold: Downside risk below 200-DMA – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts observe that Gold has been under pressure since losing its 50‑DMA in March and failing to reclaim it on rebounds. They flag the confluence of the 200‑DMA and a multi‑year trend line near $4,350 as critical support, with potential downside towards $4,100 if this area fails, and recent highs acting as resistance.

Downtrend eyes major support cluster

"Gold has undergone a pullback after slipping below its 50‑DMA in March."

"Its failure to reclaim this MA during the latest rebound attempt underscores the persistence of downward momentum."

"The confluence of the longer‑term 200‑DMA and a multi‑year ascending trend line near $4,350 could be next potential support."

"It will be important to observe whether Gold can hold above this and attempt a bounce."

"Gold erased the key $4,500/oz level and must hold the 200dma of $4,353/oz to halt a deeper correction towards $4100/oz."

"If a short‑term rebound develops, the recent pivot high around $4,685 / $4,775 could act as resistance."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed 0.7000, awaits FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its recent recovery move and trades with a negative bias below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the pair under pressure despite hawkish RBA expectations. All eyes now remain on the FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold falls as US Dollar, Treasury yields rebound ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold falls nearly 1.20% as the US Dollar and US Treasury yields resume their advance. Traders await the FOMC Minutes for fresh clues on the likelihood of another rate hike before year-end.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP fall liquidating $550M

Bitcoin’s correction follows a recent rejection due to supply around $87,200. Altcoins are generally in a correction trend, as Ethereum edges lower toward the next key support at $2,600 and Ripple extends its down leg near the $1.45 demand area.

Risk sentiment sours, as UK employment picture darkens

Risk sentiment is deteriorating further as we move through Wednesday. The price of Brent crude oil is now above $102 per barrel, the sell off in European stock indices is deepening, and the gold price is lower by more than 1%.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.