|

Global Payments wave II correction could set up major upside

Global Payments Inc. (NYSE: GPN) continues to show a constructive long-term Elliott Wave structure on the monthly chart. Despite the significant decline from its 2021 peak, the broader price structure suggests that the stock may still be developing within a larger bullish cycle. The long-term Elliott Wave count began with cycle wave I and wave II in the early 2000s, followed by a prolonged advance into wave III, which peaked around 2006. A complex corrective phase followed, eventually completing wave IVaround 2013. From that low, Global Payments accelerated higher within wave V, developing a strong five-wave structure that culminated near the $200–$210 area around 2021.

Since that peak, GPN has entered a substantial corrective sequence. The current count labels this decline as part of cycle wave (II), with the correction developing through a complex combination structure.

GPN

GPN wave II correction could lead to a larger rally

The current Elliott Wave projection suggests that the correction may continue before the next major bullish cycle begins. The chart shows an expected sequence involving waves ((W)), ((X)), and ((Y)), with wave ((X)) potentially producing a recovery toward the $120–$130 area before another decline in wave ((Y)). The projected completion of cycle wave II could occur in the $35–$45 region, although the exact endpoint will depend on the internal wave development. From there, the chart projects a powerful recovery and a potential new long-term impulsive advance.

The broader Elliott Wave structure remains constructive while the larger count stays intact. GPN’s current correction is therefore being monitored as a potential larger-degree wave II before the next major bullish phase develops.

Summary

Global Payments (NYSE: GPN) remains constructive on the larger timeframe, with wave II still developing after the 2021 peak. The correction could extend toward the $35–$45 region before a potential new long-term bullish advance begins.

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
CFTC Report: Defensive currency positioning takes hold
The week in one sentence: Sterling and Euro shorts deepened in the week to September 22, while Yen longs were cut sharply. Oil positioning improved despite a steep price decline, and Gold exposure remained crowded. The main signal was a more defensive currency positioning backdrop.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.