|

GBP/USD: value of GBP puts (bearish bets) has hit highest since June 2017

  • The value of the out of the money put options on the GBP/USD pair has hit the highest level since June 8, 2017, risk reversals indicate.
  • The increased demand for the put options indicates the investors are likely expecting a deeper drop in the GBP/USD pair.

The GBP/USD one-month 25 delta risk reversals (GBP1MRR) fell to -1.70 earlier today - the lowest level since June 8, 2017 - meaning the implied volatility premium or demand for the GBP puts is at its highest in 16 months.

More importantly, the risk reversals have dropped sharply in the last few weeks from the high of -0.8 seen at the end of August.

It is worth noting that the put value has hit multi-month highs a day after the pair the trendline rising from Aug. 15 lows. So, it seems safe to say that investors are expecting a deeper drop in the British pound.

GBP1MRR

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Will US CPI inflation revive the uptrend?
Gold is hanging close to one-week lows near $4,310 early Friday, nursing heavy losses after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data release and the recent upsurge in Oil prices. Gold is looking to recover a part of the previous heavy losses as traders resort to repositioning ahead of the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.
Ethereum holds above $2,400 as PPI data strengthens rate hike expectations
Ethereum (ETH) is down 0.7% on Thursday as the second-largest cryptocurrency looks to recover from earlier pressure following the release of stronger US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% in August, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% increase in July, according to the US Labor Department.
Dollar comeback case 'a decent one' – September Fed hike 'back in play'
The dollar was left nursing heavy losses against most of its major peers after last month’s Treasury buyback wobble. Notwithstanding this, we think that the case for a near-term bounce in the greenback is a decent one. Warsh's hawkish pivot at Jackson Hole, followed by what was a blowout US payrolls report for August, has put a September rate hike from the Fed back in play.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.