|

GBP/USD tumbles to 1.34 neighborhood and rebound, NFP in focus

   •  Fails to gain traction beyond 1.35 mark. 
   •  Latest Brexit headlines aggravate profit-taking slide.
   •  US NFP report will be looked for fresh impetus. 

The GBP/USD pair extended its retracement slide and tumbled to the 1.3400 neighborhood in the last hour, albeit quickly retreated few pips thereafter.

With markets looking past the latest positive Brexit news, wherein the UK reached a historic deal on its EU exit terms, a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand helped negate today's in-line/better-than-expected UK data and prompted some profit taking at higher levels.

The slide accelerated further on flash news that an EU official don't see Brexit trade talks to start immediately in 2018 and it would be realistic to expect UK trade deal by March 2019.

Meanwhile, the release of NIESR GDP estimate, pointing to a better-than-expected growth of 0.5% over 3-months to November, passed unnoticed, with Brexit headlines acting as an exclusive driver of the pair's good two-way moves on the last trading day of the week. 

Traders now look forward to the keenly watched US monthly jobs report (NFP) for some fresh impetus. Against the backdrop of optimism over the US tax reform plan and passage of a legislation to temporarily fund the US government through December 22, a strong NFP figure would pave the way for an extension of the pair's corrective slide.

Technical outlook

Valeria Bednarik, American Chief Analyst at FXStreet writes: "The 4 hours chart shows that the price is breaking below its 20 SMA which converges with a Fibonacci level at 1.3430, while the RSI indicator turned lower, now at 48, as the Momentum hovers around its mid-line. The main support is now 1.3390, with a break below it opening doors for a steeper decline towards 1.3345, the 61.8% retracement of its latest bullish run, ahead of the 1.3300 figure."
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD strengthens to near 1.3400 as UK political risk fades

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength near 1.3395 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday, bolstered by fading domestic political uncertainty. However, hawkish minutes from the Federal Reserve and renewed tensions between the US and Iran might support the US Dollar and cap the upside for the major pair.


EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1400 vs USD; Mideast tensions cap gains

The EUR/USD pair attracts some buyers for the second straight day, though it lacks follow-through and remains confined within the previous day's range during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1420 area, up less than 0.10% for the day, and remain at the mercy of the US Dollar price dynamics.

Gold sees more pain as Iran tensions revive inflation fears

Gold price reflects signs of softness on Thursday, trading 0.5% lower at around $4,056 during the Asian trading session. The precious metal is under pressure as Middle East hostilities have revived fears of high global inflation, a scenario that discourages major central banks from easing monetary conditions. This framework bodes well for interest-bearing assets, but diminishes the appeal of non-yielding assets, such as Gold.


Bitcoin eyes $60,000 – Jupiter and Pi Network lead losses

Bitcoin is extending its losses on Thursday for the third consecutive day amid renewed tensions between the US and Iran. Risk-off market sentiment intensifies, with Jupiter and Pi Network emerging as the biggest losers over the last 24 hours. CoinMarketCap's Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 26 on Thursday, down from 29 on Monday, indicating a clear increase in risk-off sentiment.

2.50%: Why the Kiwi's first hike in three years is a wager on a number nobody can see
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.50% at 02:00 GMT on Wednesday, its first hike in three years and the moment the bank that cut deeper than any G10 peer last cycle turned to face the other way.
Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.