|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Remains below 50-day EMA near the confluence of 1.3400

  • GBP/USD may navigate the region around the eight-month low of 1.3140.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 49.56 indicates momentum is consolidating.
  • The immediate barrier lies at the 50-day EMA of 1.3383.

GBP/USD remains steady after four days of losses, trading around 1.3370 during the European hours on Wednesday. The pair is holding a mildly bearish near‑term bias as spot remains capped beneath the 50‑day and nine-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 49.56 sits near the neutral line, hinting at consolidative momentum rather than a decisive directional push.

The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a bearish breakdown and signals a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase as the GBP/USD pair has broken below the lower boundary of an ascending channel. Further support lies at the eight-month low of 1.3140, recorded on June 24.

On the upside, the immediate barrier lies at the 50-day EMA of 1.3383, followed by the nine-day EMA at 1.3406. A rebound above the moving averages would revive the bullish bias and support the GBP/USD pair to explore the region around the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.3640, followed by the five-month high of 1.3658, reached on May 1. A break above this level would expose 1.3869, the highest level since September 2021, reached on January 27.

Chart Analysis GBP/USD
GBP/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.11%-0.04%-0.10%-0.11%0.02%0.10%-0.12%
EUR0.11%0.08%0.04%-0.00%0.13%0.22%-0.01%
GBP0.04%-0.08%-0.04%-0.08%0.04%0.14%-0.09%
JPY0.10%-0.04%0.04%-0.01%0.13%0.20%-0.02%
CAD0.11%0.00%0.08%0.01%0.14%0.27%-0.01%
AUD-0.02%-0.13%-0.04%-0.13%-0.14%0.10%-0.14%
NZD-0.10%-0.22%-0.14%-0.20%-0.27%-0.10%-0.25%
CHF0.12%0.00%0.09%0.02%0.00%0.14%0.25%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.