|

GBP/USD: Gains through 1.2200 may trigger a squeeze to the 1.23 area – Scotiabank

Cable is soft but off earlier lows. Economists at Scotiabank analyze GBP/USD outlook.

Perhaps oversold in the short run

Cable price signals are reflecting a tentative and perhaps only short-term base for the GBP developing on intraday chart.

The GBP sell-off does look somewhat overextended so a minor relief rally would not be a surprise at this point.

Gains through 1.2200 intraday would be a minor positive for the GBP and perhaps trigger a squeeze to the 1.23 area where firmer short-term resistance should emerge.

Intraday support is 1.2160/1.2170. Broader risks are tilted towards a drop back to the 1.20/1.21 area.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold eases from two-week top as Hormuz risks support USD; remains near $4,200

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strength beyond $4,200 and retreats slightly from a two-week high touched during the Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar edges lower amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties stemming from tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, receding Fed-hike bets might hold back USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and help limit the downside for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Week ahead: ISM services PMI and Fed Minutes to shake Fed hike bets

Dollar drops on NFP, but rate hike still expected by year-end. ISM services PMI and Fed minutes are the greenback’s next catalysts. RBNZ expected to raise rates, focus will be on forward guidance. ECB minutes, China CPI and Canada’s jobs report also on the agenda.

Why central banks are loading up on Gold during the current 30% correction
Gold has crashed from $5,500 to $4,000 in five months, marking a decline of almost 30% that has triggered widespread retail panic. However, this correction could present a significant opportunity, driven by an unprecedented market indicator: central bankers and the world's largest asset managers are aggressively buying.
Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.