|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Holds in a tight range between 50-day and 100-day SMAs

  • GBP/JPY holds a mild downside bias, though limited follow-through selling keeps price action choppy.
  • British Pound comes under pressure amid the geopolitical backdrop, while the Yen holds steady against most majors.
  • Technically, the cross trades within a tight range between the 50-day and 100-day SMAs, signaling consolidation.

GBP/JPY trades with a mild downside bias on Thursday, though it lacks strong follow-through selling and trims part of its intraday losses as markets remain volatile. Ongoing US-Israel war with Iran keeps sentiment fragile, weighing on the British Pound (GBP), while the Japanese Yen (JPY) holds firm across major peers except the US Dollar (USD) and Canadian Dollar (CAD).

At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 210.90, attempting a rebound after sliding to 210.35 during the Asian session.

From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows near-term consolidation, with prices trapped between the 100-day and 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMAs) at 210.21 and 211.27, respectively.

Momentum indicators suggest a mildly bearish undertone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 46, holding below the neutral 50 mark, indicating subdued buying interest.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows early signs of weakening momentum, with the MACD line slipping below the signal line and the histogram turning slightly negative.

On the downside, a decisive break below the 100-day SMA could expose the 207.50 support zone, which marks the February swing low. A sustained move below this level would shift focus toward the 200-day SMA near 205.00.

On the upside, a recovery above the 50-day SMA would be needed to ease immediate downside pressure. A sustained break higher could open the door toward the 213.50 resistance area, marked by recent highs, followed by the February peak near 215.00.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.55%0.71%0.53%0.31%0.67%0.70%0.59%
EUR-0.55%0.16%-0.07%-0.27%0.13%0.16%0.02%
GBP-0.71%-0.16%-0.21%-0.40%-0.03%0.01%-0.14%
JPY-0.53%0.07%0.21%-0.21%0.15%0.18%0.06%
CAD-0.31%0.27%0.40%0.21%0.36%0.38%0.26%
AUD-0.67%-0.13%0.03%-0.15%-0.36%0.03%-0.13%
NZD-0.70%-0.16%-0.01%-0.18%-0.38%-0.03%-0.14%
CHF-0.59%-0.02%0.14%-0.06%-0.26%0.13%0.14%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.