|

Forex Today: US Dollar strength persists as traders turn focus to NFP

Here is what you need to know for Thursday, June 4:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades with a firmer tone near the 99.50 price region as a stronger-than-expected United States (US) ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 54.5 in May from 53.6 in April, highlighting the resilience of the US economy and supporting Treasury yields.

On Wednesday, the DXY reached its highest level since April 7, at 99.55.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.30%0.35%0.06%0.41%0.71%1.05%0.63%
EUR-0.30%0.04%-0.22%0.12%0.41%0.74%0.34%
GBP-0.35%-0.04%-0.26%0.06%0.37%0.68%0.29%
JPY-0.06%0.22%0.26%0.31%0.62%0.94%0.54%
CAD-0.41%-0.12%-0.06%-0.31%0.31%0.64%0.23%
AUD-0.71%-0.41%-0.37%-0.62%-0.31%0.31%-0.10%
NZD-1.05%-0.74%-0.68%-0.94%-0.64%-0.31%-0.38%
CHF-0.63%-0.34%-0.29%-0.54%-0.23%0.10%0.38%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

EUR/USD remains under pressure near the 1.1600 area as broad US Dollar (USD) strength weighs on the shared currency.

GBP/USD declines near the 1.3420 region, pressured by the stronger Greenback. Sterling struggles to gain traction as investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming United Kingdom (UK) economic releases and ongoing fiscal concerns.

USD/JPY trades at the 160.00 level as stronger US economic data supports the USD. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that policymakers must carefully weigh the "pros and cons" of a rate hike if inflation risks become more significant than risks to economic growth.

AUD/USD falls toward a one-week low near the 0.7130 region as stronger US data boosts the Greenback and limits demand for risk-sensitive currencies.

Gold descends 1% to the $4,440 area as higher US Treasury yields and a firmer US Dollar reduced demand for the non-yielding metal.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil gains almost 3% to retake the $96.00 area as traders balance expectations for resilient global demand against concerns about future supply conditions and broader economic growth prospects.

What’s next in the docket:

Thursday, June 4:

  • CH CPI
  • Eurozone Retail Sales
  • US Challenger Job Cuts
  • US Initial Jobless Claims
  • US Nonfarm Productivity
  • US Unit Labor Costs
  • JP Labor Cash Earnings

Friday, June 5:

  • Eurozone GDP
  • Eurozone Employment Change
  • CA Employment Report
  • CA Average Hourly Wages
  • CA Unemployment Rate
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls
  • US Unemployment Rate
  • US Average Hourly Earnings
  • US Labor Force Participation Rate
  • CA Ivey PMI

WTI Oil FAQs

WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

Author

Agustin Wazne

Agustin Wazne joined FXStreet as a Junior News Editor, focusing on Commodities and covering Majors.

More from Agustin Wazne
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Week ahead: Central bank and earnings bonanza could roil markets

After joining the rate-hike club in September, the Federal Reserve looks set to stand pat in October, waiting to assess more data before deciding to hike again. Whilst this isn’t an unusual move for a central bank, it somewhat contradicts Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s new mantra of data dependency and zero forward guidance.

CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.