|

Fed's Williams: Iran war impact to drive up headline inflation

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams told Bloomberg on Tuesday that the impact of the Iran war will drive up headline inflation.

Key takeaways

"Inflation this year should be around 2.75%."

"Fed is very focused on underlying inflation."

"Story on core inflation hasn't changed very much."

"Tariffs remain a big part of the inflation story."

"Monetary policy is exactly where it needs to be, can be changed if needed."

"Expecting 2% to 2.5% GDP this year with stable unemployment rate."

"Labor market situation is pretty complicated."

"Job market is low hire, low fire."

"Underlying inflation to moderate later this year."

"US economy is remarkably resilient, tech broadly is helping productivity levels."

"Compensation growing consistent with productivity, not pressuring inflation."

"Businesses have been adapting to more uncertain world."

"Fed is focused on work, leadership concerns are not an issue."

Market reaction

The US Dollar Index stays in the lower half of its tight daily range and was last seen losing 0.07% at 99.92.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains capped at 1.3600, awaits key US event risks

GBP/USD is consolidating in Friday's European trading after facing rejection at 1.3600 earlier on. Traders remain on the sidelines and refrain from placing fresh bets on the major ahead of the critical US Nonfarm Payrolls benchmark revision and Fed Chair Warsh's debut at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Both events could ramp up market volatility.

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1650 ahead of NFP revision, Warsh

EUR/USD is treading water at around 1.1650 in the European session on Friday. The pair faces headwinds as the US Dollar clings to its recent recovery ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls benchmark revision and Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. However, the downside appears cushioned by hawkish ECB expectations.

Gold holds gains above $4,600 as bullish bias prevails

Gold extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $4,610 during the European hours. The price of the precious metal is remaining within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting a persistent bullish bias. The XAU/USD pair is retaining a constructive bullish bias as spot holds above both the nine-period and 50-period EMAs, keeping the short- and medium-term trends aligned to the upside.

Hyperliquid rally stretches thin amid treasury growth, CFTC innovation push

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is down 2% on Friday after reaching a record high of 86.75 the previous day. Nasdaq-listed Hyperliquid Strategies Inc raised almost $650 million in an equity deal to increase its HYPE holding to 29.3 million tokens. Hyperliquid is also pushing to expand its perpetual futures markets in the US.

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September. The Jackson Hole symposium, held from August 27 to 29, has the official theme “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy.”

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.