|

Fed's Williams: Fed not in a hurry to make next rate decision

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York John Williams noted during an appearance at the Biennial Macroeconometric Caribbean Conference, in Nassau, that the Fed's job of forecasting economic outcomes is becoming increasingly difficult, specifically under the weight of trade war threats from the Trump administration.

Key highlights

The Fed's current forecasted rate path looks reasonable.

Downside economic risks and upside inflation risks are both very high.

The key issue for monetary policy is managing risks and uncertainties.

The US central bank is not in a hurry to make the next monetary policy decision. It has become harder to forecast the outlook right now.

It is essential to keep inflation expectations contained.

The University of Michigan inflation expectations data is an outlier.

I take comfort in the stability of longer-term inflation expectations.

I can't say yet what the clear impact of tariffs will be on inflation.

The Fed has gotten more clarity on the Trump policy agenda.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets fresh supply and tests 0.7100 amid weak Australian PMIs

AUD/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and is testing 0.7100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. Australia's flash PMIs showed manufacturing slipped into contraction and services expanding slowly for a second straight month, renewing the pair's downside. Furthermore, a bullish US Dollar acts as a headwind for the pair as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, markets shrug off US-Iran indirect talks.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold falls as strong US PMI data gives Fed room to raise rates again

Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Wednesday as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes lift the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on the non-yielding metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidate gains as XRP extends breakout
Bitcoin (BTC) is moderating on Wednesday, trading near $86,000 as the crypto market broadly consolidates. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors BTC’s stable outlook, holding above $2,700. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, edges higher for the sixth consecutive day, currently sitting above $1.61 as bulls tighten their grip.
Oil rebounds above $90: Why is the Canadian Dollar still falling?
USD/CAD extends its advance on Wednesday and trades around 1.4090 at the time of writing, up 0.21% on the day. The pair remains close to its recent highs, supported by a firm US Dollar (USD), while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles to recover losses from the recent decline in Oil prices. Oil dynamics, however, are becoming less negative for the Loonie.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.