|

Fed’s Waller: Will closely watch jobs data for growing signs of stress

Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), speaks about the economic outlook and monetary policy at Auburn University in Alabama on Friday. He stated that the break-even rate for the job market is currently likely around zero.

Key quotes:

As the longer Middle East war remains unresolved, inflation and job risks increase.

Job market break even rate now probably around zero.

Will closely watch jobs data for growing signs of stress.

Changes to job market make it challenging to analyze at present.

Periods of negative job growth might not indicate recession.

After a series of shocks, it becomes harder to look through inflation jump.

If quick resolution to war, can look through energy price shock.

Will be closely observing how inflation expectations respond to conflict.

Markets seemed to have undervalued risk of prolonged conflict.

Potential energy price surge could have lasting inflation impact.

March headline PCE inflation likely to hit 3.5% YoY.”

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Euro.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.09%-0.16%-0.59%-0.21%-0.26%-0.14%-0.48%
EUR0.09%-0.07%-0.50%-0.12%-0.17%-0.05%-0.41%
GBP0.16%0.07%-0.45%-0.05%-0.10%0.02%-0.32%
JPY0.59%0.50%0.45%0.39%0.34%0.45%0.11%
CAD0.21%0.12%0.05%-0.39%-0.04%0.06%-0.26%
AUD0.26%0.17%0.10%-0.34%0.04%0.11%-0.21%
NZD0.14%0.05%-0.02%-0.45%-0.06%-0.11%-0.34%
CHF0.48%0.41%0.32%-0.11%0.26%0.21%0.34%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Agustin Wazne

Agustin Wazne joined FXStreet as a Junior News Editor, focusing on Commodities and covering Majors.

More from Agustin Wazne
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.