|

Kevin Warsh will be sworn in as Fed Chair at the White House on Friday

US President Donald Trump will swear in Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman on Friday at the White House, a White House official told CNBC on Monday.

Last week, Warsh was voted by the US Senate to succeed the current temporary Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for a four-year period, beginning this Friday.

Warsh will face a tough economic environment and political pressure from Trump, who, since the beginning of his second presidency, has pushed for lowering interest rates, even though the disinflation process has reversed course, according to the latest data.

Last week's releases showed the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.8% YoY in April and the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 6%. Therefore, money markets had priced in no interest rate cuts; instead, they’re expecting a rate hike towards the end of the year, according to LSEG data.

(This story was corrected on May 18 at 17:45 GMT to say that US CPI rose 3.8% in April, not 3.7%.)

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits fresh three-month highs above 1.3550

GBP/USD stretches north and trades at its highest level since mid-May above 1.3550 in the second half of the day on Monday. Easing expectations for a Federal Reserve policy tightening step in September hurts the US Dollar and allows the pair to preserve its bullish momentum ahead of this week's key UK inflation data.

EUR/USD pulls away from two-month high, holds near 1.1600

EUR/USD edges lower but stays in positive territory near 1.1600 after setting a fresh two-month high above 1.1610 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand and helps the pair hold its ground as investors scale back bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September following the previous weeks disappointing macroeconomic data releases from the US.

Gold sticks to gains near $4,400 as USD slumps to two-month low

Gold maintains its bullish tone through the first half of the European session and currently trades around $4,400, up for the second straight day. The commodity, however, remains below the highest level since June 5, touched last Thursday, amid a mixed fundamental backdrop.

Bitcoin range trade hints at looming volatility burst, analysts say

Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly higher around $63,500 on Monday, following a slight correction the previous week, supported by improving risk sentiment and despite mild outflows from institutional demand.

Economists agree: Fed to leave interest rates unchanged this year – Reuters poll

A large majority of economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in September and for the rest of this year, according to a Reuters poll conducted between August 12 and 17.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.