|

Euro: Upside bias capped by nearby resistance against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that EUR/USD remains in a short-term range, with flat momentum indicators pointing to intraday consolidation between 1.1415 and 1.1455. On a 1–3 week view, the bank keeps a mildly positive bias, but stresses firm resistance at 1.1470 and 1.1500 and a strong support at 1.1370. A break of 1.1390–1.1410 would expose 1.1210.

Euro holds mild upside bias

"24-HOUR VIEW: EUR briefly soared to a high of 1.1472 last Thursday. When EUR was at 1.1430 in the early Asian session on Friday, we indicated that “the brief rise did not lead to a clear increase in upward momentum, and instead of continuing to advance, EUR is more likely to rangetrade between 1.1410 and 1.1455.” Our view of range-trading was not wrong, as EUR traded between 1.1419 and 1.1462, closing little changed at 1.1435 (+0.04%). Momentum indicators are mostly flat, and we continue to expect EUR to range-trade today, most likely between 1.1415 and 1.1455."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We revised our EUR view to mildly positive last Friday (03 Jul, spot at 1.1430). We highlighted that “the bias for EUR is tilted to the upside,” but we stated that “expect firm resistance at 1.1470 and 1.1500.” We will maintain this view as long as EUR holds above 1.1370 (no change in ‘strong support’ level)."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?