Euro gains against British Pound amid rising UK leadership uncertainty
- EUR/GBP climbs toward one-month highs as UK political turmoil weighs on the Pound.
- UK gilt yields surge to multi-year highs as investors react to mounting political uncertainty.
- Traders price in at least two BoE and ECB rate hikes as rising Oil prices fuel inflation concerns.
EUR/GBP climbs to near one-month highs on Friday as rising political uncertainty in the United Kingdom (UK) pressures the British Pound (GBP). At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8726, on track for weekly gains.
Sterling came under renewed pressure as speculation surrounding a possible leadership challenge to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer intensified following the Labour Party's heavy local election losses. According to The Times, the Labour Party panel approved Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham’s bid to return to Parliament, putting another key contender alongside Wes Streeting in the spotlight as pressure mounts on Starmer.
Burnham is seen as less market-friendly, with investors worried his leadership could lead to higher government spending and borrowing. Streeting, meanwhile, is viewed as a safer option for markets.
The political uncertainty also triggered sharp moves in the UK bond market, with UK 10-year gilt yields climbing toward 5.2% on Friday, their highest level since July 2008, as investors grew increasingly concerned about the UK’s fiscal credibility.
Alongside political developments, investors are also closely watching the monetary policy outlook as rising Oil-driven inflation linked to tensions in the Middle East raises the risk that major central banks may need to increase interest rates. Traders are currently pricing in at least two rate hikes from both the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) by year-end.
However, the Euro (EUR) could face headwinds as higher energy prices and the Eurozone’s dependence on imported energy increase the risk of slower economic growth, potentially limiting how aggressively the ECB can raise interest rates even if inflation pressures continue to rise.
Looking ahead, investors will closely monitor next week’s key economic data releases, including inflation figures from both the United Kingdom and the Eurozone, along with UK employment data for the three months ending in March.
Pound Sterling Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.30% | 0.51% | 0.17% | 0.11% | 0.83% | 1.07% | 0.31% | |
| EUR | -0.30% | 0.20% | -0.13% | -0.21% | 0.52% | 0.79% | 0.01% | |
| GBP | -0.51% | -0.20% | -0.32% | -0.40% | 0.32% | 0.58% | -0.19% | |
| JPY | -0.17% | 0.13% | 0.32% | -0.07% | 0.64% | 0.90% | 0.13% | |
| CAD | -0.11% | 0.21% | 0.40% | 0.07% | 0.69% | 0.94% | 0.20% | |
| AUD | -0.83% | -0.52% | -0.32% | -0.64% | -0.69% | 0.26% | -0.51% | |
| NZD | -1.07% | -0.79% | -0.58% | -0.90% | -0.94% | -0.26% | -0.76% | |
| CHF | -0.31% | -0.01% | 0.19% | -0.13% | -0.20% | 0.51% | 0.76% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).
Author
Vishal Chaturvedi
FXStreet
I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.
