|

EUR/USD to move below parity for a while in the coming weeks – SocGen

In the view of Kit Juckes, Chief Global FX Strategist at Société Générale, EUR/USD is unlikely to break below 0.95. Nonetheless, the pair is set to trade under parity in the coming weeks.

Europe has tapped into global LNG supplies

“The good news, that Europe has tapped into global LNG supplies and is doing a better job of weaning itself off Russian gas, is enough to provide some kind of a cushion for EUR/USD and makes a break below 0.95 less likely now unless the conflict with Russia escalates dramatically.” 

“However, the drag of higher prices on European growth seems sure to get EUR/USD below parity for a while in the coming weeks.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to 1.3500 amid marginal losses

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3500 neighbourhood on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to further extend its incipient recovery in a context of continuous instability in the Middle East and modest gains in the Greenback.

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses near 1.1540

EUR/USD navigates a tight range near 1.1550 in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The US Dollar’s vacillating price action accompanies the pair while market participants gear up for the crucial US inflation data due on Wednesday.

Gold trades with positive bias below $4,400; Fed hike bets cap gains ahead of US CPI

Gold attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, stalling the previous day's retracement slide from the $4,435 region, or the highest level since June 5. The commodity, however, remains below the $4,400 mark as traders await key US inflation figures for fresh cues about the US Federal Reserve's future policy path before placing fresh directional bets on the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin risks liquidation-driven spikes amid deepening market apathy

Bitcoin has remained trapped between $60,000 and $80,000 for six consecutive months, reflecting a market increasingly defined by apathy and weak trading activity. However, such thin volumes combined with elevated open interest leave room for sudden spikes in liquidation, according to a Tuesday report by K33.

US Dollar: CPI keeps USD in tight ranges

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the US Dollar softened as Fed hike expectations moderated and the US yield curve steepened. They argue that without a strong upside surprise in United States Consumer Price Index, the USD should stay rangebound, supporting carry trades.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.