|

EUR/USD Price Forecast:  Rises towards 1.1600 but RSI remains bearish

  • EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1600 as RSI shows improving momentum.
  • Break above 1.1600 exposes key SMA confluence resistance zone.
  • Failure below 1.1600 risks retest of 1.1500 support.

The EUR/USD surges over 0.36% as the Greenback turns negative on the day, as US President Donald Trump cancelled strikes on Iran, saying that the US and Iran are ironing out the final points of a peace agreement. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1579.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Even though the EUR/USD bounced off the lows of the week at around 1.1589, it seems to be consolidating below 1.1600.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shows that buyers are gaining strength, though the index is below the 50-neutral level, suggesting caution is warranted.

For a bullish resumption, the EUR/USD must clear 1.1600. Once hurdled, the next resistance is the confluence of the 50- and 200-day SMAs at around the 1.1655-1.1676 area, followed by the 100-day SMA at 1.1689 ahead of 1.1700.

Conversely, if sellers keep EUR/USD below 1.1600, it opens the door to a retest of 1.1500. Below this level, the next stop would be the March 30 daily low of 1.1443. Below this level, the next area of interest would be 1.1400.

EUR/USD Price Chart – Daily

EUR/USD daily chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.40%-0.39%-0.46%0.11%-0.67%-0.80%-0.69%
EUR0.40%0.00%-0.07%0.50%-0.38%-0.36%-0.29%
GBP0.39%-0.01%-0.09%0.50%-0.37%-0.37%-0.30%
JPY0.46%0.07%0.09%0.57%-0.32%-0.33%-0.21%
CAD-0.11%-0.50%-0.50%-0.57%-0.87%-0.87%-0.79%
AUD0.67%0.38%0.37%0.32%0.87%-0.01%0.07%
NZD0.80%0.36%0.37%0.33%0.87%0.01%0.10%
CHF0.69%0.29%0.30%0.21%0.79%-0.07%-0.10%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD weakens to two-week lows near 0.6960

AUD/USD clinches its second consecutive daily pullback as market participants continue to assess the RBA’s rate hike earlier in the day. Indeed, the pair slipped back toward the 0.6960 zone, or multi-day troughs, following the less-hawkish-than-expected message from the RBA after it hiked the OCR by 25 bps, as widely anticipated.

USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP under pressure as investors pull capital

Bitcoin trades downward at $76,566 on Tuesday, testing six-week lows. Ethereum, like Bitcoin, trades under pressure as it consolidates within a narrow support range. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers marginally above $1.25.

US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.