EUR/USD is set to climb back to the 1.1850 – ING

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

EUR/USD is expected to climb back to the 1.1850 handle in the coming days. Thursday morning’s rally in the pair shows momentum remains tilted to the bullish side, but also that the US jobs market data continues to have an outsized impact on USD crosses, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

Spillover from France remains limited

"One week after France’s debt downgrading, we can conclude that the euro spillover has been very contained, despite the OAT-Bund 10y having remained quite wide (currently 80bp). Their latest political news isn’t very encouraging, as the new prime minister is facing harsh union opposition to his fiscal plans, and negotiations with the Socialists – who are believed to hold the key to passing the budget – have not yielded good results so far."

"The risk of further widening in the OAT-Bund spreads remains tangible, but what matters most for the euro is the rate of change in those adjustments, and so far we are not expecting a material FX spillover."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD looks weak below 1.1800

EUR/USD has slipped back under pressure, breaking through the 1.1800 support and drifting towards the weekly lows near 1.1770 ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The move reflects renewed strength in the US Dollar, with steady geopolitical tensions keeping its demand firm. Moving forward, the release of the German labour market report and flash inflation figures should keep European investors entertained on Friday.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.