EUR/USD grinds higher around 1.1450 even as risk reversal snap five-day uptrend

Anil Panchal FXStreet

EUR/USD pauses the previous day’s pullback from a three-month high around 1.1445-50 during Tuesday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the major currency pair seems to benefit from the market’s risk-on mood while ignoring the recent rebound in the US Treasury yields and downbeat signals from the options market.

That said, one-month risk reversal (RR) on EUR/USD, a measure of the spread between the call and put prices dropped for the first time in six days to -0.1000 at the latest, by the end of Monday’s North American session per data source Reuters.

While the risk-on mood can be linked to the cautious optimism over the US-Japan trade deal and Russia-Ukraine issues, fears of hawkish central bank actions challenge the EUR/USD buyers. Moving on, US Goods and Services Trade Balance for December, expected $-83B versus $-80.2B, may offer intermediate clues to the EUR/USD ahead of Thursday’s key US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Read: EUR/USD Price Analysis: 100-DMA defends bulls around 1.1450

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD back to 1.3250, down modestly for the day

GBP/USD now comes under fresh downside pressure and recedes toward the mid-1.3200s on Tuesday, partially reversing the optimism seen at the beginning of the week. Meanwhile, Cable’s bearish tone follows the resumption of the upside traction in the Greenback, always amid the sharp rally in USD/JPY.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive in the low 1.1400s

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses in the 1.1420 region in the latter part of the NA session on turnaround Tuesday. The pair’s vacillating price action comes amid the lack of clear direction in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants are expected to gear up for the upcoming key releases on the US docket and developments from the ECB Forum in Sintra.

Gold clings to daily gains beyond $4,000

Following multi-month lows near $3,950, Gold now manages to regain some composure and reclaim the area beyond the key $4,000 yardstick per troy ounce on Wednesday. Still, any meaningful recovery appears limited as a broadly firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields weigh on the yellow metal.

Coinbase, BlackRock, Visa and Stripe support Open Standard’s OUSD stablecoin

Open Standard on Tuesday unveiled Open USD (OUSD), a dollar-pegged stablecoin designed for global payments, backed by more than 140 companies. The founding coalition spans payment networks, banks, fintech firms, technology platforms and crypto infrastructure providers, including Shopify, Google, Ripple, Solana, Coinbase, Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock and BNY.

Why a hawkish Bank of Japan could trigger the next Bitcoin sell-off

The Japanese Yen hits a 40-year low of 162.00 against the US Dollar, raising concerns about intervention or additional rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. BoJ may sell US Treasuries to buy back Yen, potentially pushing US bond yields higher and making Bitcoin less attractive to investors.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.