|

EUR/USD: ECB officials dampen talk of aggressive rate cuts – Scotiabank

EUR/USD dropped back to the upper 1.07s in early Asian trade before crawling back to the low 1.08s, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

EUR edges higher

“Comments from ECB Governor Wunsch, adding to the raft of voices who have spoken out against upping the pace of rates cuts recently, helped nudge the EUR higher. Moody’s put French debt on negative outlook Friday.”

“OATs are, however, outperforming marginally in the day, with the outlook revision no great surprise and markets perhaps relieved that – for now, at least – a rating cut was avoided.”

“Spot is consolidating in a developing range around 1.08. The pattern of trade so far suggests a minor pause in the EUR’s decline before losses resume (potential bear flag pattern). The EUR remains heavily oversold on the intraday and daily oscillator studies which does raise the risk of a short squeeze at some point, however. Support is 1.0780. Resistance is 1.0870.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).