EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Hesitation above 0.8655 with bears still in control
- EUR/GBP bounced up from lows near 0.8650 but remains capped below 0.8670 so far.
- Weak German consumer confidence data has weighed on the Euro across the board.
- Technical indicators show a waning bearish pressure.
The Euro (EUR) is trimming some losses against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday after finding support at the 0.8655 area late last week. Upside attempts, however, remain capped below a previous support area at 0.8670 so far, which leaves the broader bearish trend in play for now.
Data from Germany released earlier on Monday revealed that consumer confidence for May, as measured by the GfK Consumer Confidence Survey, deteriorated to its weakest level since February 2023, amid the consequences of the war in Iran. The impact of these figures on the Euro, however, has been cushioned by a mild risk appetite, fuelled by news of ongoing negotiations between the US and Iran to end the Middle East conflict. This is keeping the Euro and the Pound moderately positive against the safe-haven US Dollar (USD).
Technical Analysis: Bears are losing momentum
From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows the EUR/GBP trading within a bearish channel, although Friday's upper low and a bullish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest that sellers might be losing momentum.
The RSI has been trending higher, although it is still below the 50 midline, highlighting a mild bearish pressure. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is flat near the zero line, pointing to a lack of strong directional momentum, altogether showing an indecisive market.
Bulls would need to confirm above the area around 0.8685 (April 8, 14 lows, and April 24 high) to clear the path towards trendline resistance, now at 0.8705. Key support is at the confluence of Thursday and Friday's lows, between 0.8655 and 0.8660, and the channel bottom, at 0.8650. Further down, the next target is the March 24 and 26 lows near 0.8635.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.21% | -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.40% | -0.49% | -0.51% | -0.11% | |
| EUR | 0.21% | 0.08% | 0.07% | -0.19% | -0.26% | -0.29% | 0.10% | |
| GBP | 0.16% | -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.24% | -0.34% | -0.37% | 0.04% | |
| JPY | 0.16% | -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.23% | -0.34% | -0.38% | 0.08% | |
| CAD | 0.40% | 0.19% | 0.24% | 0.23% | -0.10% | -0.14% | 0.29% | |
| AUD | 0.49% | 0.26% | 0.34% | 0.34% | 0.10% | -0.01% | 0.39% | |
| NZD | 0.51% | 0.29% | 0.37% | 0.38% | 0.14% | 0.01% | 0.41% | |
| CHF | 0.11% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.29% | -0.39% | -0.41% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
Author
Guillermo Alcala
FXStreet
Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.
