|

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Eases from 0.8575 resistance with the bullish bias intact

  • EUR/GBP remains steady above 0.8550 with four-week highs of 0.8574 at hand.
  • Rising concerns about Burnham's welfare reform and a dovish BoE are weighing on the Pound.
  • The pair is on a bullish channel with the next targets at 0.8575 and the 0.8600 area.

The Euro (EUR) is nursing moderate losses against the British Pound (GBP) on Wednesday, as bulls failed to find acceptance above the 0.8575 resistance area on Tuesday. The pair, however, remains within the upper range of the 0.8500s with the near-term bullish bias intact, and the focus shifting towards the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy meeting, due on Thursday.

Rabobank’s FX strategists warn that the Pound could come under pressure as markets reassess the UK policy outlook. They argue that “the potential for disappointment over a lack of rate rises from the Bank this year, coupled with the likelihood of political friction over budget cuts,” may turn market sentiment less supportive for sterling.

Technical Analysis: Bulls target 0.8575 and the 0.8600 area

Chart Analysis EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP trades at 0.8566, hovering in the upper half of a bullish channel. Momentum indicators are in positive territory, with the Relative Strength Index (14) around 64, after pulling back from overbought levels, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram at slightly positive levels, hinting that upside pressure is still intact.

Immediate resistance is in the area between the mentioned 0.8575 area (July 2, 3, and 29 highs) and the channel cap, now around 0.8580. Above these levels, the next target is the late-June lows, around 0.8605.

On the downside, first support emerges at the 0.8550 area where Tuesday's lows meet the channel base. Below here, the July 23 low, near 0.8530, and July 17 and 20 highs in the 0.8510-0.8515 area are expected to challenge bears.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

(This story was corrected at 11:20 GMT to correct the first bullet point, writing EUR/GBP and not EUR/USD as previously reported.)

Pound Sterling Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this week. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.00%0.26%-0.05%0.07%0.80%0.35%0.41%
EUR0.00%0.25%-0.04%0.07%0.80%0.35%0.41%
GBP-0.26%-0.25%-0.39%-0.18%0.55%0.10%0.15%
JPY0.05%0.04%0.39%0.10%0.83%0.38%0.35%
CAD-0.07%-0.07%0.18%-0.10%0.70%0.28%0.34%
AUD-0.80%-0.80%-0.55%-0.83%-0.70%-0.45%-0.40%
NZD-0.35%-0.35%-0.10%-0.38%-0.28%0.45%0.05%
CHF-0.41%-0.41%-0.15%-0.35%-0.34%0.40%-0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.