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EUR/GBP gains amid UK political jitters and dovish BoE bets

  • EUR/GBP extends gains as Sterling weakens on political uncertainty.
  • Soft UK consumer confidence and dovish BoE expectations weigh on Sterling.
  • German inflation cools, but the Euro remains supported amid a steady ECB outlook.

The Euro (EUR) ticks higher against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with Sterling under broad pressure as renewed political uncertainty in the United Kingdom (UK) dampens investor sentiment. At the time of writing, EUR/GBP is trading around 0.8771, hovering near its highest level since December 19.

The UK Labour Party lost the parliamentary by-election in the Greater Manchester seat of Gorton and Denton, a constituency it had represented for nearly 100 years.

The unexpected defeat has increased scrutiny on Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s leadership and has fueled internal discussions within the Labour Party about the possibility of a leadership challenge ahead of the next general election.

On the data front, the latest GfK Consumer Confidence index fell to -19 in February, down from -16 in January, missing the forecast of -15.

In the Eurozone, softer German inflation data did little to temper the bullish tone in EUR/GBP. Preliminary data showed Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% MoM in February, below the 0.5% forecast, though slightly higher than the previous 0.1% increase. On an annual basis, CPI eased to 1.9% YoY, down from 2.1%, missing expectations of 2%.

Meanwhile, the preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) climbed 0.4% MoM, undershooting the 0.5% forecast but rebounding from -0.1% previously. The annual HICP rate eased to 2.0% from 2.1%.

On the interest rate outlook, growing expectations of a more dovish outlook from the Bank of England (BoE) are also weighing on the Pound. Markets are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a rate cut at the March meeting, amid cooling inflation and deteriorating labor market conditions.

In contrast, the European Central Bank is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged through the rest of 2026, as inflation stabilizes below the 2% target.

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.07%0.34%0.03%-0.02%0.25%0.22%-0.42%
EUR-0.07%0.28%-0.07%-0.08%0.18%0.14%-0.49%
GBP-0.34%-0.28%-0.36%-0.36%-0.10%-0.14%-0.76%
JPY-0.03%0.07%0.36%-0.02%0.23%0.19%-0.43%
CAD0.02%0.08%0.36%0.02%0.26%0.21%-0.41%
AUD-0.25%-0.18%0.10%-0.23%-0.26%-0.03%-0.67%
NZD-0.22%-0.14%0.14%-0.19%-0.21%0.03%-0.63%
CHF0.42%0.49%0.76%0.43%0.41%0.67%0.63%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

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