|

EUR/CHF to suffer a substantial drop on a break below 0.9840/0.9830 – SocGen

EUR/CHF popped back above parity last week but slipped below 0.9950 again on Monday. The 0.9840/0.9830 area is crucial support, analysts at Société Générale report.

New high for core inflation cements 50 bps at next SNB meeting

“CPI again surprised to the upside in February. This could seal another increase in the policy rate of 50 bps at the meeting in two weeks. The headline rate was unchanged at 3.2% YoY but core CPI drifted up to a new high of 2.4% from 2.2%.”

“Currently, a pullback is taking shape however 50-DMA at 0.9920 should be first support.”

“In case the pair overcomes 1.0040, the bounce could extend towards January high of 1.0100 and 1.0220.”

“Only if recent low at 0.9840/0.9830 gets violated would there be a risk of a deeper downtrend.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6950 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD consolidates in the Asian session on Thursday, trading just above 0.6950 as traders assess developments in the Middle East crisis. The Pentagon reportedly ordered readiness for potential strikes against Iran. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play, which, along with hawkish FOMC Minutes and elevated US bond yields, will likely keep the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the pair.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as USD retreats

USD/JPY returns to the red below 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar eases from near an 18-month high on profit taking, ignoring Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, adding to the pair's pullback.

Gold rebounds from two-month lows; will it sustain?

Gold is bouncing back toward $4,150 early Thursday after defending $4,100 on Wednesday. US Dollar retreats on profit-taking, despite high Treasury yields and hawkish Fed Minutes. Risks remain skewed to the downside for Gold while RSI stays bearish.



Cryptocurrencies face new security risk as Ethereum researcher warns of potential ECDSA break

Ethereum (ETH) researcher Justin Drake has urged the crypto industry to begin preparing for a potential breakthrough that could undermine the cryptographic systems securing digital assets. In an X post on Wednesday, Drake called on the industry to calmly enter what he described as “bunker mode.”

The Fed trap is tightening
Gold is getting punched in the mouth again today. And if you’ve been following this bull market for any length of time, you know that’s not necessarily a bad thing. In fact, it may be giving us exactly the opportunity we’ve been waiting for.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.