|

Elliott Wave view: Microsoft (MSFT) Entering 3‑Wave correction after impulse

Microsoft (MSFT) established a major all-time high on July 31, 2025, at $555.45. Afterward, the stock entered a significant correction that concluded on March 28, 2026, at $356.07. This decline has been classified as wave (II). Since then, the stock has advanced in wave (III). However, it must still climb above the prior peak at $555.45 to eliminate the risk of a double correction. The rally from the wave (II) low unfolded as a five-wave Elliott Wave impulse, which strengthens the probability of continued upside while prices remain above that level.

From the wave (II) low, wave (1) ended at $386.29, followed by a pullback in wave (2) that terminated at $367.05. The stock then extended higher in wave (3), reaching $433.94, as shown on the thirty-minute chart. A subsequent pullback in wave (4) concluded at $404.61. The final advance in wave (5) ended at $445.24, completing wave ((1)). At present, a pullback in wave ((2)) is unfolding to correct the cycle from the March 28, 2026 low. This correction is expected to develop in either three or seven swings before the rally resumes. In the near term, as long as the pivot at $367.23 remains intact, dips should attract buyers in three or seven swings, supporting the case for further upside.

Microsoft (MSFT) 30-Minute Elliott Wave Chart

MSFT Elliott Wave Video:

Youtube preview

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

Week ahead – Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets

Kevin Warsh to make his Jackson Hole debut amid confusing messaging. But a major hawkish surprise unlikely after bond market intervention. Nvidia earnings to also determine market direction as stock rally cools.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.