|

Economic wrap and Aussie jobs ahead - Westpac

Analysts at Westpac offered an economic wrap and outlook for today's events.

Key Quotes:

"Eurozone CPI inflation was finalised at 0.4% for April, 1.9% annual, which is a gain on the previous 1.5% annual pace but lower than  February’s 2.0%. The volatility in readings is partly an Easter effect, but overall the trend is rising gradually. Wage growth does remain subdued, however, particularly in Germany.

Event Risk

Australia: Apr employment is expected to increase 5k with the unemployment rising to 6.0%yr. Despite our Jobs Index pointing to upside risks for near-term employment gains, we are expecting survey volatility to drive a pull-back from Mar’s 60.9k jump which included full-time +74.5k and hours worked +0.2% - however both are tracking at just 0.8%yr annually.

Japan: The Q1 GDP preliminary is expected to be 0.4% from Q4’s 0.3%. While manufacturing and exports have been stronger, consumption is still lagging.

US: The May Philly Fed index remained elevated at 22.0 in Apr though this is half of Feb’s 33 year high. Risks are to the downside given this week’s surprise fall in the Fed Empire state index to negative territory. Fedspeak involves Mester speaking on the economy at a luncheon in Minnesota."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD tumbles to three-day lows around 1.3420

GBP/USD comes under extra selling pressure and revisits the area of multi-day lows near 1.3420 in quite a bearish start to the week. Cable’s decline comes amid the firmer Greenback as investors continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict. Moving forward, attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.


EUR/USD remains offered near 1.1400

EUR/USD trades on the back foot for the third day in a row and approaches the key 1.1400 threshold, or multi-day troughs, on Monday. The pair’s pullback comes amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the Middle East crisis and a solid performance of the US Dollar. Later this week, attention will turn to the ECB’s interest rate decision.

Gold stuck just above $4,000

Gold reverses Friday’s uptick, gyrating around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Escalating military action in the Middle East provides some support to the safe-haven metal, although expectations of higher US interest rates bolster the US Dollar and keeps its under the microscope.

Ethereum remains fragile underneath the surface despite outperformance

Ethereum's outperformance over the past week shows it's gaining relative strength against other top cryptocurrencies, but under the surface, key metrics indicate its rise remains fragile. Between last week and Wednesday, ETH recorded double-digit gains, outperforming fellow crypto majors Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana, before the broader market began to correct on Thursday.

Ripple Price: XRP bears retail control despite increasing retail demand
Ripple (XRP) faces sustained selling pressure as bears maintain control on Monday. The remittance token has struggled to break above the $1.10 resistance since last Thursday, as risk sentiment weighs. Demand for XRP derivatives has gradually increased since last week, with the perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) averaging 2.4 billion XRP on Monday, up from 2.13 billion XRP the previous day.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.