ECB’s Nagel signals December rate hike as inflation risks mount
On Tuesday, the President of the Bundesbank and Governing Council member of the European Central Bank (ECB), Joachim Nagel, said that an ECB rate increase in December “is very likely to be necessary.”
Nagel added that inflationary pressure is “higher than expected in September,” deteriorating the deflationary scenario, while adding that the ECB can “and must prevent an energy price spike from causing broad-based inflation.”
Key highlight:
A rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary
Inflationary pressure is higher than expected in September; approaching adverse scenario
We can and must prevent an energy price spike from causing broad-based inflation
I am confident that France will get a grip on its budget issues
This isn't a task for monetary policy
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.01% | -0.08% | 0.46% | 0.06% | 0.37% | 0.02% | 0.31% | |
| EUR | 0.01% | -0.06% | 0.46% | 0.07% | 0.40% | 0.03% | 0.32% | |
| GBP | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.53% | 0.14% | 0.45% | 0.07% | 0.38% | |
| JPY | -0.46% | -0.46% | -0.53% | -0.39% | -0.09% | -0.43% | -0.14% | |
| CAD | -0.06% | -0.07% | -0.14% | 0.39% | 0.31% | -0.04% | 0.25% | |
| AUD | -0.37% | -0.40% | -0.45% | 0.09% | -0.31% | -0.35% | -0.07% | |
| NZD | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.07% | 0.43% | 0.04% | 0.35% | 0.29% | |
| CHF | -0.31% | -0.32% | -0.38% | 0.14% | -0.25% | 0.07% | -0.29% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
ECB FAQs
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.
In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
